XAU/USD – analisis

Bearish

Analisis arsip dari Oct 30, 12:47 UTC. Harga dan level sesuai saat diterbitkan.

Analisis XAU/USD terbaru

Ringkasan

Gold breaks 3965 and tests the 3942-3958 June-July lows

The 3999 bounce was sold and gold broke 3965 to 3955.4, inside the 3942-3958 zone of the June-July lows. All timeframes stay below Tenkan/Kijun (D1 MACD -60.4 < -53.5), but H1-H4 RSI near 31 warns of a bounce: sell rallies to 3975-3983.

Level kunci

  1. Resistance · Minor4,019.00
  2. Resistance · Minor3,997.00
  3. Resistance3,975.00 – 3,983.00
  4. Resistance · Minor3,965.00
  5. Sekarang3,956.50
  6. Dukungan · Minor3,947.00
  7. Dukungan3,942.00 – 3,958.00
  8. Dukungan · Minor3,925.00

Timeframe

TimeframeArah
D1At the June-July lowsLow 3954.3 today; below Tenkan 4048.4 / Kijun 4091.3; BB lower 3947.2; MACD -60.4 < -53.5; RSI18 34.5RSI(18) 34.5MACD -60.38 / -53.47Kijun 4091.25BB lower 3947.18
H4Breaking the lower bandLow 3955.4 under BB lower 3961.3; below Tenkan 4001.0 / Kijun 4019.2; MACD -19.0 < -9.3; RSI18 31.0RSI(18) 31.0MACD -19.00 / -9.26Tenkan 4000.96BB lower 3961.33
H1Lower highs since 3999Highs 3999.4, 3991.9, 3982.5, 3970.8; below Tenkan 3983.6 / Kijun 3997.4; MACD -15.1 < -12.1; RSI18 31.7RSI(18) 31.7MACD -15.12 / -12.08Tenkan 3983.55BB lower 3961.12
M15Oversold on the lower bandLow 3955.4 at BB lower 3954.6; below Tenkan 3968.9 / Kijun 3977.4; MACD -8.7 < -6.2; RSI18 29.9RSI(18) 29.9Kijun 3977.39BB lower 3954.60

Rencana trading

  • JualUtamaSell the bounce to 3975-3983

    Pemicu: Price bounces into 3975-3983 (M15 Kijun 3977, H1 Tenkan 3983.6) and an M15 candle closes back below 3972

    Entry
    3,975.00 – 3,983.00
    Stop loss
    3,999.00
    Target 1
    3,947.00
    Target 2
    3,926.00

    Invalidasi: H1 close above 3999 (this morning's high, H1 Kijun 3997.4) cancels the sell

  • BeliMelawan trenBuy a rejection of 3942-3947

    Pemicu: Price dips into 3942-3947 (June 30 low 3942.1, D1 lower band 3947.2) and an H1 candle closes back above 3950 with a long lower wick

    Entry
    3,942.00 – 3,947.00
    Stop loss
    3,928.00
    Target 1
    3,965.00
    Target 2
    3,977.00

    Invalidasi: H1 close below 3935 cancels the buy: the June-July floor has given way

Perhatian

  • RSI is near 30 on M15, H1 and H4 and price sits on the June-July lows: selling at 3955 without a bounce risks a sharp short squeeze

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XAU/USD: Gold breaks 3965 and tests the 3942-3958 June-July lows (Oct 30, 12:47 UTC) | RefundHub247