Resumen
Gold breaks the June-July floor and drops to 3891
The 3942-3958 floor gave way after 13:00: gold fell 79 points to 3891.2 and bounced to 3912. All timeframes point down (D1 MACD -63.9 < -53.9), but H1-H4 RSI near 24-25 is deeply oversold: sell rallies into 3935-3945, not the lows.
Niveles clave
- Resistencia · Menor3,970.00
- Resistencia · Menor3,958.00
- Resistencia3,935.00 – 3,945.00
- Resistencia · Menor3,928.00
- Ahora3,911.50
- Soporte3,891.00 – 3,898.00
- Soporte · Menor3,880.00
- Soporte · Menor3,865.00
Marcos temporales
| Marco temporal | Dirección | Lectura |
|---|---|---|
| D1 | Below the lower band, range 128High 4019, low 3891.2 today; below BB lower 3935.8, Tenkan 4016.8, Kijun 4059.7; MACD -63.9 < -53.9; RSI18 32.3RSI(18) 32.3MACD -63.85 / -53.86Tenkan 4016.79BB lower 3935.81 | High 4019, low 3891.2 today; below BB lower 3935.8, Tenkan 4016.8, Kijun 4059.7; MACD -63.9 < -53.9; RSI18 32.3RSI(18) 32.3MACD -63.85 / -53.86Tenkan 4016.79BB lower 3935.81 |
| H4 | Deeply oversold under the bandCandle 3970.8-3891.2 below BB lower 3947.5; Tenkan 3968.9 / Kijun 3987.1; MACD -22.6 < -9.7; RSI18 25.5RSI(18) 25.5MACD -22.58 / -9.66Tenkan 3968.87BB lower 3947.53 | Candle 3970.8-3891.2 below BB lower 3947.5; Tenkan 3968.9 / Kijun 3987.1; MACD -22.6 < -9.7; RSI18 25.5RSI(18) 25.5MACD -22.58 / -9.66Tenkan 3968.87BB lower 3947.53 |
| H1 | Two big red candles, then a wick13:00 fell 3955-3915, 14:00 hit 3891.2 then back to 3911; Tenkan 3945.3, Kijun 3964.5; RSI18 23.8RSI(18) 23.8MACD -22.83 / -14.50Tenkan 3945.29BB lower 3928.26 | 13:00 fell 3955-3915, 14:00 hit 3891.2 then back to 3911; Tenkan 3945.3, Kijun 3964.5; RSI18 23.8RSI(18) 23.8MACD -22.83 / -14.50Tenkan 3945.29BB lower 3928.26 |
| M15 | Bounce off the lower bandLow 3891.2 near BB lower 3898.2, back to 3912; below Tenkan 3925.5 / Kijun 3945.3; RSI18 24.4RSI(18) 24.4Tenkan 3925.46Kijun 3945.29 | Low 3891.2 near BB lower 3898.2, back to 3912; below Tenkan 3925.5 / Kijun 3945.3; RSI18 24.4RSI(18) 24.4Tenkan 3925.46Kijun 3945.29 |
Plan de trading
- VentaPrincipalSell the bounce to 3935-3945
Activación: Price bounces into 3935-3945 (broken June low 3942, H1 Tenkan / M15 Kijun 3945.3) and an M15 candle closes back below 3932
- Entrada
- 3,935.00 – 3,945.00
- Stop loss
- 3,962.00
- Objetivo 1
- 3,900.00
- Objetivo 2
- 3,880.00
Invalidación: H1 close above 3962 (back inside the old 3942-3958 floor) cancels the sell
- CompraScalpScalp a hold of 3891-3898
Activación: Price retests 3891-3898 (today's low, M15 lower band), holds with a higher low and an M15 candle closes above 3912
- Entrada
- 3,893.00 – 3,900.00
- Stop loss
- 3,882.00
- Objetivo 1
- 3,925.00
- Objetivo 2
- 3,940.00
Invalidación: M15 close below 3888 cancels the buy: the low is giving way
Precaución
- Gold fell 79 points in under two hours and RSI is 24-25 on H1 and H4: moves are fast in both directions, keep size small and stops wide enough
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